Quantcast
The MFWire
Manage Email Alerts | Sponsorships | About MFWire | Who We Are

Subscribe to MFWire.com's News Alerts [click]

Rating:Rekenthaler Says Watch Fund Flows, Not Smoke Signals Not Rated 0.0 Email Routing List Email & Route  Print Print
Tuesday, July 2, 2013

Rekenthaler Says Watch Fund Flows, Not Smoke Signals

News summary by MFWire's editors

Morningstars John Rekenthaler says investors are not going to move into stocks after five years of favoring bonds, commodities and emerging markets. Rather, they are going to get out of anything that carries risk. That's good news for contrarian investors seeking domestic stock, Rekenthaler explains, but not necessarily for bond investors. The unpopularity of that asset class, along with commodities and emerging markets, has been too short to indicate anything positive.

He points out it is difficult to know what asset classes are the best contrarian asset of the moment:
Not every contrarian signal proves useful. Back in the day, this data point was closely scrutinized. The idea was that if mutual funds held an unusually high amount of cash, they would soon need to put that cash to work. At best they couldn't support the market and at worst they would be forced to sell equities to raise cash.

Such was theory. In practice, not so much. The signal of fund flows, on the other hand, was more favorable. Which indicator would be stronger? No contest that: The S&P 500 gained a cumulative 35% over the following 22 months. As signals go, fund flows tends to be pretty strong. 
Rekenthaler also has a hunch that investment categories which "spawn" a lot of new funds are too popular, get overbought and thus likely to fall. Tactical allocation funds became popular but trailed as stocks came back and new technology funds have gone through a similar pattern.

To read more, click here.  

Edited by: Casey Quinlan


Stay ahead of the news ... Sign up for our email alerts now
CLICK HERE

0.0
 Do You Recommend This Story?



GO TO: MFWire
Return to Top
 News Archives
2025: Q3Q2Q1
2024: Q4Q3Q2Q1
2023: Q4Q3Q2Q1
2022: Q4Q3Q2Q1
2021: Q4Q3Q2Q1
2020: Q4Q3Q2Q1
2019: Q4Q3Q2Q1
2018: Q4Q3Q2Q1
2017: Q4Q3Q2Q1
2016: Q4Q3Q2Q1
2015: Q4Q3Q2Q1
2014: Q4Q3Q2Q1
2013: Q4Q3Q2Q1
2012: Q4Q3Q2Q1
2011: Q4Q3Q2Q1
2010: Q4Q3Q2Q1
2009: Q4Q3Q2Q1
2008: Q4Q3Q2Q1
2007: Q4Q3Q2Q1
2006: Q4Q3Q2Q1
2005: Q4Q3Q2Q1
2004: Q4Q3Q2Q1
2003: Q4Q3Q2Q1
2002: Q4Q3Q2Q1
 Subscribe via RSS:
Raw XML
Add to My Yahoo!
follow us in feedly


  1. MFDF Director Discussion Series - Open Forum, July 9
  2. ICI webinar - The Digital Future of Asset Management: Current State and Regulatory Landscape, July 10
  3. MFDF webinar - Mid-Year Tax Update for Registered Investment Companies, July 10
  4. MFDF Director Discussion Series - Open Forum (Philadelphia), July 15
  5. 2025 MMI Women in Advisory Solutions Forum, Jul 15-16
  6. Nicsa webinar - How Trusted GenAI is Transforming Data Access in Asset Management, July 16
  7. MFDF webinar - M&A and Consolidation in Asset Management, July 16
  8. MFDF webinar - ETF Conversions, July 17
  9. MFDF Director Discussion Series - Open Forum (New York), July 22
  10. MFDF Ask Anything webinar - AI Edition, July 24
  11. MFDF webinar - Use of Derivatives by RICs, July 29
  12. MFDF Director Discussion Series - Open Forum (Columbus, Ohio), August 20
  13. Samfund Soiree Boston 2025, August 21
  14. MFDF webinar - The Audit Committee Chair's Guide to Balancing Duties and Emerging Issues, September 3
  15. ICI ETF Conference, Sep 8-10
  16. Nicsa webinar - Reimagining Reconciliation: AI, Regulation, and Capital Markets Transformation, September 10
  17. MFDF webinar - Series Trust Funds - Compliance and Board Reporting, September 10
  18. MFDF In Focus - Board Oversight of DEI in Current Landscape, September 11
  19. MFDF webinar - MFDF 15(c) White Paper Webinar Series: Part 4 – Enforcement Action Takeaways, September 16
  20. MFDF webinar - Latest in Closed-End Funds Litigations, September 23
  21. MFDF webinar - Fixed Income Insights: Navigating Market Trends & Opportunities, September 24
  22. MFDF webinar - Risk Management Essentials for RICs and Boards, September 29
  23. MFDF webinar - Diligent - Tools for Fund Board Book, October 1
  24. 10th annual Fuse Forum, October 8
  25. MFDF webinar - Essential Strategies in Board Oversight of Operational Risk Management, October 14
  26. 2025 MMI Annual Conference, Oct 15-17




©All rights reserved to InvestmentWires, Inc. 1997-2025
14 Wall Street | 20th Floor | New York, NY 10005 | P: 212-331-8968 | F: 212-331-8998
Privacy Policy :: Terms of Use