Bob Doll,
BlackRock's vice chairman and chief investment officer, on Wednesday morning
gave his predictions for the year and also took a stab at making a forecast for the decade.
The press briefing was the first one hosted by the New York City-based asset manager in its new headquarters.
(As previously reported by The
MFWire, BlackRock in November moved its headquarters to
55 East 52nd St., which is across the street from the old one.)
| Bob Doll talks to reporters after his presentation Wednesday morning at BlackRock's new headquarters. | |
Twenty-seven journalists attended the briefing.
Below are his 10 predictions for 2010:
1. The U.S. economy grows above 3 percent in 2010 and outpaces the
G-7
2. Job growth in the US. turns positive early in 2010, but the unemployment
rate remains stubbornly high.
3.Earnings rise significantly despite mediocre economic growth.
4.Inflation remains a non-issue in the developed world.
5.Interest rates rise at all points on the Treasury curve, including Fed Funds.
6. U.S. stocks outperform cash and treasuries, and most developed markets.
7. Emerging markets outperform as emerging economies grow significantly
faster than developed ones.
8. Healthcare, information technology and telecommunications outperform
financials, utilities and materials.
9.Strong free cash flow and slow growth lead to an increase in M&A activity.
10.Republicans make noticeable gains in the House and Senate, but Democrats
remain firmly in control of Congress.
Last year, Doll was 11.5 out of 12 with his predictions.
At Wednesday's press briefing, he also offered his forecast for the decade. Among his predictions: recessions will occur more frequently during this decade compared to only once a decade in the last 20 years.  
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